Weekly Top 5 Binary Options Must Watch Events 07/22-26/2013
BOTS Financial Calendar: Weekly Top 5 Binary Options Trading Moves
1. Apple, Inc. Earnings Report
07/23/2013 – Tuesday (exact time not known)
What will it affect: AAPL
Consensus EPS forecast: 7.31
Where to keep an eye on the event: CommuniTraders, Bloomberg, Reuters, Nasdaq.com
Why traders care and what to expect: The consensus based on 28 analysts’ opinion is 7.31 for the Fiscal Quarter ending June 2013 and this is lower than last year’s number for the same period: 9.32. If the forecast is met, we may see higher prices for Apple.
Directional bias: UP if the actual EPS is higher than 7.31
DOWN if the actual EPS is lower than 7.31
How I would trade this event: I would buy a four hour Call on AAPL if the forecast is met.
2. Facebook, Inc. Earnings Report
07/24/2013 – Wednesday (exact time not known)
What will it affect: FB
Consensus EPS forecast: 0.09
Where to keep an eye on the event: CommuniTraders, Nasdaq.com, Bloomberg, Reuters
Why traders care and what to expect: According to Zacks Investment Research (Chicago based firm with more than 30 years experience in providing analytical tools and financial information) and based on the opinions of 13 analysts, the EPS forecast is 0.09 for the fiscal quarter ending June 2013, better than the same quarter last year which was -0.08.
Directional bias: UP if the actual EPS is higher than 0.09
DOWN if the actual EPS is lower than 0.09
How I would trade this event: I would buy an hourly Put on FB if the EPS is lower than forecast.
3. Reserve Bank of New Zealand Interest Rate Decision
07/24/2013 – Wednesday at 9:00 pm GMT
What will it affect: NZD
Forecast: unchanged 2.50%
Where to keep an eye on the event: CommuniTraders, Forex Factory, Daily FX, Bloomberg, Reuters
Why traders care and what to expect: The Rate is not expected to change but the event will create volatility for the New Zealand Dollar, especially because at the same time the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will release the Rate Statement which contains important insights into the reasons that determined the decision and also hints about future monetary policy direction.
Directional bias: UP if the Rate is increased or the Rate Statement contains a hawkish outlook
DOWN if the Rate is decreased or the Rate Statement contains a dovish outlook
How I would trade this event: I would trade only after the volatility (if any) calms down.
4. United Kingdom Preliminary Gross Domestic Product
07/25/2013 – Thursday at 08:30 am GMT
What will it affect: GBP
Forecast: 0.6% from previous 0.3%
Where to keep an eye on the event: CommuniTraders, Bloomberg, Reuters, DailyFX, Forex Factory
Why traders care and what to expect: The Gross Domestic Product value is estimated with a pretty high accuracy because most of its components are known in advance. However, the release is closely watched by investors and this usually translates in strong market moves. A higher GDP usually strengthens the Pound and the opposite is true for a lower one.
Directional bias: UP if the GDP is higher than 0.6%
DOWN if the GDP is lower than 0.6%
How I would trade this event: I would buy several 15 minute and hourly Puts on GBP/USD if the value is not higher than 0.8%
5. US Durable Goods Orders
07/25/2013 – Thursday at 12:30 pm GMT
What will it affect: USD
Forecast: 1.1% from the previous 3.6%
Where to keep an eye on the event: CommuniTraders, Forex Factory, Bloomberg, Reuters, DailyFX
Why traders care and what to expect: Goods with a life expectancy of at least 3 years are considered “durable” and an increase in orders is indicative of a thriving economy because in times of economic instability people think more about their primary needs and not so much about buying durable items. The purchase of a durable good usually implies a larger investment from the part of the buyer so it suggests confidence in the economic conditions.
Directional bias: UP if the actual value will be higher than 1.1%
DOWN if the actual value will be lower than 1.1%
How I would trade this event: I would buy a Put on EUR/USD if the value will be higher than 1.5%.
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Note 1: The times, dates and values can change during the week. Keep an eye on the mentioned financial websites for any modifications.